Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: AZ Alkmaar are favoured to win with a 63% chance according to the model probabilities. Kick-off is at 18:45 SAST on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in Yerevan.
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% |
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, odds and tips
Paripesa has Ararat-Armenia at 5.98, the draw at 4.56 and AZ Alkmaar at 1.55 on the 1X2.
BTTS yes pays 1.63 and BTTS no 2.17. The 1X2 prices carry a 3.1% bookmaker margin, which the model removes before it reads them.
Win, draw and away chances
The main tip is AZ Alkmaar to win, rated 63%. A price of 1.55 implies 64%, close to the model figure.
BTTS yes is the call at 57%. At 1.63 the bookmaker implies 61%, above the model figure, so the price is tight for the risk.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar to win | 63% | 1.55 | 64% | -1 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.63 | 61% | -4 |
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar form and head-to-head
Ararat-Armenia have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games, scoring eight and conceding eight goals. AZ Alkmaar have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five, with five goals for and six against. Both sides show similar overall form with balanced results and goals scored and conceded.
Europa League log positions
Ararat-Armenia sit 33rd on the log with zero points from two games, scoring two and conceding seven goals. AZ Alkmaar are 20th with three points from two games, having scored two and conceded two.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Match FAQ
What time does Ararat-Armenia play AZ Alkmaar?
Kick-off is 18:45 SAST on Thursday 22 October 2026, at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in Yerevan.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia against AZ Alkmaar?
The Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win at 63%. The model gives Ararat-Armenia 16%, the draw 21% and AZ Alkmaar 63%, and every outcome stays possible.
What are the odds on Ararat-Armenia and AZ Alkmaar?
Paripesa priced Ararat-Armenia at 5.98, the draw at 4.56 and AZ Alkmaar at 1.55 when the page was written at 03:36 SAST; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The both-teams-to-score tip is yes (both teams score), rated at 57%.